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Where Is the Burleigh Waters Property Market Heading?

Burleigh Waters

Last updated: Q3 2026 — data refreshed monthly on the 1st

Data-driven answers to the questions buyers, sellers, and investors actually ask about Burleigh Waters.

Median House Price (12 months)$1,917,500+8.9% · 12-month trend
Median Days on Market (12 months)28
Active Listings28

Source: Fields Estate analysis of Gold Coast transaction data • Q3 2026 • median is a 12-month rolling figure • days on market is a 12-month rolling median

What have houses sold for in Burleigh Waters?

Half of house sales in Burleigh Waters settled above $1,917,500 (12-month rolling median), a +8.9% change over the trailing 12 months. The 90% confidence interval is $1,850,277–$1,965,000 from 216 recorded sales. Source: Fields Estate analysis of Gold Coast transaction data, Q3 2026.

How long do houses take to sell in Burleigh Waters?

The median time on market in Burleigh Waters is 28 days (12 months to Sept 2026). Source: Fields Estate analysis of Gold Coast transaction data, Q3 2026.

How many houses are for sale in Burleigh Waters?

There are 28 active house listings in Burleigh Waters in the latest daily snapshot. Source: Fields Estate analysis of Gold Coast transaction data, Q3 2026.

These are suburb-wide figures. See how your home compares →

Fields Forecast Model — Market Direction

Where is the Burleigh Waters property market heading?

Forward-looking indicators ranked by forecasting value, price projections, and momentum signals — powered by Fields' analysis of 27 economic datasets across 10 years of Gold Coast data.

Plateauing
🔬
Built on Fields’ Proprietary Research

This page is powered by our analysis of 194 correlation relationships across 27 economic datasets and 8 Gold Coast suburbs (2015–2025). We identified which indicators actually lead property prices — and which lag by up to 12 months. The signals below are ranked by forecasting value, not just correlation strength.

Read the full analysis: What Really Drives Gold Coast House Prices? →
Forecast Direction

Plateau

Model-based 4-quarter projection

Flat

QoQ Momentum

Not reported

Recent quarters carry too few recorded sales to support a quarter-on-quarter figure

No data

YoY Trend

N/A

12-month median vs. the prior 12 months

No data

Confidence

Low

Insufficient data

Low

Burleigh Waters Market Signals — Real-Time Leading Indicators

Mixed
  • These indicators are ranked by their ability to forecast Gold Coast house prices (Fields research, 2015-2025)
  • Wage growth (r=0.940) leads prices by 3-4 months — the single most valuable forward signal
  • Consumer spending (r=0.914) reflects real-time buyer confidence and purchasing power
  • Interest rates lag prices by 12 months — the RBA is reactive, not predictive

What this means

  • When leading signals (wages, spending) diverge from lagging signals (rates, lending), the leading signals are more reliable for forecasting
  • A shift in the leading indicators typically precedes a price move by 2-4 months

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics + Fields Estate database. Updated monthly. Next update: 1 November 2026.

Burleigh Waters Quarterly Price Momentum

No data
  • Quarter-on-quarter price growth provides the earliest signal of direction change
  • Two consecutive positive quarters suggest acceleration; two negative suggest deceleration
  • More volatile than annual growth — shows momentum shifts faster

What this means

  • Quarterly data not yet available for this period

Source: Fields Estate database. Updated monthly on the 1st. Next update: 1 November 2026.

Burleigh Waters Annual Price Growth Trend

No data
  • Year-on-year growth smooths out quarterly noise
  • The trend line matters more than any single reading
  • Annual growth has decelerated from prior highs

What this means

  • Annual data not yet available for this period

This chart compares the latest quarter's median to the same quarter a year ago. The market snapshot at the top of this page shows a separate rolling 12-month figure, which smooths out single-quarter swings — the two won't always match. Source: Fields Estate database. Updated monthly on the 1st. Next update: 1 November 2026.

Burleigh Waters Suburb DNA — Structural Characteristics

  • Structural factors that shape long-term price behaviour independently of market cycles
  • Beach proximity, supply constraint, transport access, and school quality all affect Burleigh Waters's trajectory
  • These factors change slowly — they represent the suburb's fundamental character

What this means

  • Suburbs with high supply constraint and strong fundamentals tend to hold value better in downturns
  • Understanding Burleigh Waters's DNA helps assess whether current price levels are sustainable

What This Means for You

Buyers Timing Entry

Burleigh Waters has entered a plateau — neither accelerating nor declining. This means lower risk of overpaying at a peak, but no guarantee of an imminent dip either. Focus on property quality and fundamentals rather than market timing.

Sellers Timing Exit

A plateau phase means stable conditions but not improving ones. If preparation is ready, current conditions remain workable. Waiting for another growth surge is not supported by the near-term data.

Long-Term Holders

Plateaus are normal within long-term growth cycles. Supply constraint and structural Gold Coast demand support long-term values. Avoid over-reacting to short-term momentum stalls.

Direction varies at the property level.

The suburb trend is one input. We'll show you how your specific property sits against it — which of its features the comparable sales have and haven't rewarded.

Request Property Analysis

The Fields Verdict

Burleigh Waters market direction data is being refreshed.

    DirectionPlateauing
    ConfidenceLow — Insufficient data
    Next updateNovember 2026

    Market Direction — By Suburb

    Compare market direction signals across our target Gold Coast suburbs:

    Related Analysis

    Frequently Asked Questions — Burleigh Waters Market Direction

    Based on current data, the Burleigh Waters market is plateauing. The price forecast model and leading indicators on this page show the data-driven direction. No prediction is certain — the charts show probability ranges and confidence levels.

    The forecast model and leading indicators provide the best available data. Whether prices rise, plateau, or soften depends on the balance of these forces. See the crash risk tab for downside indicators.

    Price forecasts should be treated as one data point among many, not as predictions. The forecast model extrapolates recent trends — it cannot anticipate shocks (rate changes, geopolitical events). The confidence interval on the chart shows the range of plausible outcomes. Wider bands = more uncertainty. Historical accuracy ranges from ~96% at 3 months to ~88% at 12 months ahead.

    Our analysis of 27 economic datasets across 8 Gold Coast suburbs identified: (1) Wage growth (r=0.940) leads prices by 3-4 months — the single most valuable forecasting tool. (2) Consumer spending (r=0.914) tracks market strength in real-time. (3) Retail turnover (r=0.672) leads by 4-5 months. Interest rates (r=0.791) lag prices by 12 months — the RBA is reactive, not predictive.

    Valuation is relative to the buyer pool, not to historical norms alone. Burleigh Waters prices have grown significantly over 10 years, but so have wages, rents, and competing suburb prices. Our research shows a 1.71x income elasticity — a 1% wage rise produces a 1.71% house price rise (Abelson et al. 2005) — which means current price levels are partly explained by income growth. Whether a specific property is overvalued requires individual analysis.

    Planning your next move?

    The market has a direction. Your property has a different one.

    We'll show you where your home sits relative to the current trend — and the comparable sales behind that position.

    Request Property Analysis